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Gov/en/Portal:Vision/Success-Indicators-2035

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💡 In simple words: Every big project needs a dream with numbers. This page shows what WikiDeal hopes to achieve by the year 2035: how many people could use it, how decisions would be made, and how it would help other free projects like Wikipedia. These are wishes and directions, not promises.


🎯 In 20 seconds (scientific summary): This page states the success indicators envisioned for WikiDeal at horizon 2035. It combines quantitative targets (subscriptions, User Groups, endorsed contract models, Condorcet decision-making, redistribution to free-culture movements, cost advantages) and qualitative impacts (coopetition, decline of speculative culture, user ownership, cooperative revitalization). All figures are tendencies and intentions proposed as a basis for discussion: they show the direction the project wants to take, and — as Wikipedia's own history suggests — reality may well bring surprises in both directions.


Vision 2035 — Success Indicators

These indicators express a tendency and an intention. They show the direction WikiDeal wants to take by 2035, in the spirit of the founding visions collected on the Vision portal. Like Wikipedia in its early days, the project may be surprised by how reality unfolds: these figures are proposed as a basis for discussion, to be combined with other sources and revisited over time. They are not commitments.

The orders of magnitude are inspired by the trajectories of the Wikimedia Foundation, the Mozilla Foundation, the Debian project and OpenStreetMap.

Quantitative indicators

Adoption and reach

  • ≥ 2 billion active monthly subscriptions
  • 99% of subscriptions paid through concrete transactions: the subscription is deducted from a real transaction, not paid as a separate standalone fee
  • Platform available in ≥ 100 languages (for reference, Wikipedia exists in over 300 language editions)
  • Active users in ≥ 150 countries
  • ≥ 10,000 smart apps using WikiDeal contract models

Community and participation

  • More than 10,000 recognized User Groups, plus around 50,000 User Groups that are inactive, not (yet) recognized, or weakly active
  • More than 200,000 daily participants, on a voluntary and unpaid basis, improving contract models, compensatory measures and legal rules
  • ≥ 3,000 active code contributors (order of magnitude of the Debian project)

Contracts and content

  • ≥ 100,000 endorsed contract models — recognized by lawyers — available under free licences; the endorsement of contracts is the key point
  • Dispute rate below 1% of transactions, of which more than 90% are resolved through community mediation, without reaching arbitration or judicial proceedings
  • 10 to 20 active WikiDeal Sister Projects, such as the arbitration Sister Project or the product-provenance Sister Project

Economy and redistribution

  • 5–15% of subscriptions redistributed to support other key movements of wiki and free culture — such as the Wikimedia Foundation, the Mozilla Foundation, the Debian movement, OpenStreetMap, foundations working on the prevention of algorithmic bias, TED conferences and the Creative Commons movement — representing between 100 and 300 million on the basis of 2 billion subscriptions
  • 10–20% lower costs than speculative competitors on comparable services, notably in transport, housing and retail
  • Structural costs below 10% of revenue (efficiency comparable to the Wikimedia Foundation)
  • Financial reserves covering ≥ 24 months of operations, with fully public accounts (public annual reporting in the Wikimedia tradition)

Governance, freedom and infrastructure

  • More than 50% of key decisions taken through Condorcet voting
  • 100% of the code under the AGPL v3 free licence — free licences as specified by Richard Stallman and the Free Software Foundation, not just any licence — and 100% of contract models under free licences
  • 100% of user data stored in a decentralized way, within trust networks
  • ≥ 80% declared user trust rate, measured by an independent annual survey with published results
  • 100% of the technical infrastructure powered by renewable energy
  • Dedicated support programmes for social entrepreneurs, for inclusion and diversity, for the ecological transition, and for the propagation of cooperative values and free culture

Qualitative impacts

Beyond the figures, the following impacts describe the cultural and structural changes the project aims to contribute to:

  • Strengthened coopetition: competing groups recognize the need for common commercial standards, in a coopetition logic
  • Decline of speculative culture in the sectors where the platform operates
  • Transfer of control over parts of the economy — notably from family ownership toward ownership by the users — and, more broadly, a revitalization of cooperative and participatory movements
  • Greater trust in international peer-to-peer interactions: individuals renting, lending and trading across borders trust their ability to reach fair agreements through WikiDeal
  • An A-to-Z accompaniment culture: users are supported throughout life, or through the important moments and transitions of life, building global trust
  • A new cultural norm: preferring purchases carrying the WikiDeal label, or facilitated by WikiDeal, becomes a common social reflex
  • Combined programmes for the ecological transition, linking fair contracts and environmental responsibility
  • Legislative influence: WikiDeal contract models inspire national and international regulatory evolutions, in the spirit of digital fairness
  • Rebalancing of power: a perceptible reduction of asymmetries between individuals and large platforms in everyday transactions
  • Education: fair-contract practices integrated into school and university curricula
  • Extension of free culture: the wiki and free model extends beyond software and knowledge, toward law and the economy of transactions
  • A democratic standard: Condorcet voting and WikiDeal governance serve as a reference for other online organizations
  • Local trust: measurable strengthening of interpersonal trust within user communities
  • Appeasement of conflicts: disputes are experienced as restorative processes rather than confrontations

See also