AI-Admin-Assistant: Create Vision 2035 Success Indicators page (validated by Theo 2026-09-17)

2026-09-17T10:06:33Z

Create Vision 2035 Success Indicators page (validated by Theo 2026-09-17)

New page

{{KidsIntro|Every big project needs a dream with numbers. This page shows what WikiDeal hopes to achieve by the year 2035: how many people could use it, how decisions would be made, and how it would help other free projects like Wikipedia. These are wishes and directions, not promises.}}

{{ExpertIntro|This page states the success indicators envisioned for WikiDeal at horizon 2035. It combines quantitative targets (subscriptions, User Groups, endorsed contract models, Condorcet decision-making, redistribution to free-culture movements, cost advantages) and qualitative impacts (coopetition, decline of speculative culture, user ownership, cooperative revitalization). All figures are tendencies and intentions proposed as a basis for discussion: they show the direction the project wants to take, and — as Wikipedia's own history suggests — reality may well bring surprises in both directions.}}

= Vision 2035 — Success Indicators =

'''These indicators express a tendency and an intention.''' They show the direction WikiDeal wants to take by 2035, in the spirit of the founding visions collected on the [[Gov/en/Portal:Vision/Main|Vision portal]]. Like [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Wikipedia Wikipedia in its early days], the project may be surprised by how reality unfolds: these figures are proposed as a basis for discussion, to be combined with other sources and revisited over time. They are not commitments.

The orders of magnitude are inspired by the trajectories of the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation Wikimedia Foundation], the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mozilla_Foundation Mozilla Foundation], the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debian Debian project] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenStreetMap OpenStreetMap].

__TOC__


== Quantitative indicators ==


=== Adoption and reach ===
* '''≥ 2 billion active monthly subscriptions'''
* '''99% of subscriptions paid through concrete transactions''': the subscription is deducted from a real transaction, not paid as a separate standalone fee
* '''Platform available in ≥ 100 languages''' (for reference, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Wikipedias Wikipedia exists in over 300 language editions])
* '''Active users in ≥ 150 countries'''
* '''≥ 10,000 smart apps''' using WikiDeal contract models


=== Community and participation ===
* '''More than 10,000 recognized User Groups''', plus around 50,000 User Groups that are inactive, not (yet) recognized, or weakly active
* '''More than 200,000 daily participants''', on a voluntary and unpaid basis, improving contract models, compensatory measures and legal rules
* '''≥ 3,000 active code contributors''' (order of magnitude of the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debian Debian] project)


=== Contracts and content ===
* '''≥ 100,000 endorsed contract models''' — recognized by lawyers — available under free licences; the endorsement of contracts is the key point
* '''Dispute rate below 1% of transactions''', of which more than 90% are resolved through community mediation, without reaching arbitration or judicial proceedings
* '''10 to 20 active WikiDeal Sister Projects''', such as the arbitration Sister Project or the product-provenance Sister Project


=== Economy and redistribution ===
* '''5–15% of subscriptions redistributed''' to support other key movements of wiki and free culture — such as the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation Wikimedia Foundation], the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mozilla_Foundation Mozilla Foundation], the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debian Debian] movement, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenStreetMap OpenStreetMap], foundations working on the prevention of [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algorithmic_bias algorithmic bias], [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TED_(conference) TED] conferences and the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creative_Commons Creative Commons] movement — representing between 100 and 300 million on the basis of 2 billion subscriptions
* '''10–20% lower costs than speculative competitors''' on comparable services, notably in transport, housing and retail
* '''Structural costs below 10% of revenue''' (efficiency comparable to the Wikimedia Foundation)
* '''Financial reserves covering ≥ 24 months of operations''', with fully public accounts (public annual reporting in the Wikimedia tradition)


=== Governance, freedom and infrastructure ===
* '''More than 50% of key decisions taken through [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condorcet_method Condorcet voting]'''
* '''100% of the code under the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GNU_Affero_General_Public_License AGPL v3] free licence''' — free licences as specified by [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Stallman Richard Stallman] and the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_Software_Foundation Free Software Foundation], not just any licence — and '''100% of contract models under free licences'''
* '''100% of user data stored in a decentralized way''', within trust networks
* '''≥ 80% declared user trust rate''', measured by an independent annual survey with published results
* '''100% of the technical infrastructure powered by renewable energy'''
* '''Dedicated support programmes''' for social entrepreneurs, for inclusion and diversity, for the ecological transition, and for the propagation of cooperative values and free culture


== Qualitative impacts ==

Beyond the figures, the following impacts describe the cultural and structural changes the project aims to contribute to:

* '''Strengthened coopetition''': competing groups recognize the need for common commercial standards, in a [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coopetition coopetition] logic
* '''Decline of speculative culture''' in the sectors where the platform operates
* '''Transfer of control over parts of the economy''' — notably from family ownership toward ownership by the users — and, more broadly, a '''revitalization of cooperative and participatory movements'''
* '''Greater trust in international peer-to-peer interactions''': individuals renting, lending and trading across borders trust their ability to reach fair agreements through WikiDeal
* '''An A-to-Z accompaniment culture''': users are supported throughout life, or through the important moments and transitions of life, building global trust
* '''A new cultural norm''': preferring purchases carrying the WikiDeal label, or facilitated by WikiDeal, becomes a common social reflex
* '''Combined programmes for the ecological transition''', linking fair contracts and environmental responsibility
* '''Legislative influence''': WikiDeal contract models inspire national and international regulatory evolutions, in the spirit of digital fairness
* '''Rebalancing of power''': a perceptible reduction of asymmetries between individuals and large platforms in everyday transactions
* '''Education''': fair-contract practices integrated into school and university curricula
* '''Extension of free culture''': the wiki and free model extends beyond software and knowledge, toward law and the economy of transactions
* '''A democratic standard''': Condorcet voting and WikiDeal governance serve as a reference for other online organizations
* '''Local trust''': measurable strengthening of interpersonal trust within user communities
* '''Appeasement of conflicts''': disputes are experienced as restorative processes rather than confrontations


== See also ==
* [[Gov/en/Portal:Vision/Main|Vision Portal]] — the founding texts and shared values that inspire WikiDeal
* [[Gov/en/Portal:R&D/Intention-and-Vision|Intention and Vision of the R&D program]]
* [[Gov/en/Portal:Meta/Prototype-1-Deliverables|Prototype 1 Deliverables]] — the concrete first steps toward this horizon
* [[Gov/en/Portal:Institutions/Decision-Making|Decision-Making]] — including Condorcet voting
* [[Gov/en/Portal:Economy/Subscriptions|Subscriptions]] — the economic base of several indicators

[[Category:Vision]]
[[Category:Philosophy]]

Gov/en/Portal:Vision/Success-Indicators-2035 - Revision history

AI-Admin-Assistant: Create Vision 2035 Success Indicators page (validated by Theo 2026-09-17)